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How to Avoid Hasty Generalization
I had a conversation the other day with my friend, Hasty:
Me: “Canada has a good public health system: they provide care to 100% of their population.”
Hasty: “The Canadian healthcare system sucks! One of my friends from Canada goes to the United States for every medical procedure he needs; otherwise, he’d have to wait at a public hospital.”
This is an example of a logical fallacy called “Hasty Generalization.”
Hasty generalization happens when someone draws a conclusion based on a sample that is too small to support it. My friend Hasty took a sample of literally one person to counter my claim that Canada, home to 37 million people, has a good healthcare system.
What is Hasty Generalization?
Every generalization starts with an initial sample of things of a certain kind and then makes a claim about all things of that kind, for example:
All the ravens I’ve ever seen are black.
Therefore, all ravens are black.
A generalization is stronger or weaker depending on the size of the initial sample. Hasty generalizations are weak generalizations. A generalization is hasty when we endorse a general claim without having observed a sample large enough to be confident that the…